Showing posts with label London. Show all posts
Showing posts with label London. Show all posts

Thursday, 8 December 2016

As the City’s leading Financial PR advisor on IPOs, Abchurch keeps a close eye on trends

With the current IPO market somewhat uncertain as a result of Brexit, investor confidence in companies looking to list on the London Stock Exchange is difficult to gauge.  Despite the total number of listings being approximately 50% down on this time last year, the environment within which the successful floats have occurred is important to note.  Whilst high profile floats such as Misys have hit turbulent headwinds and been forced to shelve their IPO plans in recent times, others have flourished in demanding circumstances.  Hollywood Bowl Group, the operator of bowling centres, completed their IPO with a market capitalisation of £240m; Autins Group, the insulation company, floated on AIM raising £26m; and Luceco plc, the British electronics company, listed at a market capitalisation of £209m earlier this month.
 

London’s Q4 IPO landscape continues to look resilient with three noteworthy floats: ConvaTec Group Plc, the medical products company achieved the largest float of the year with a market cap of £4.39bn; FreeAgent Holdings plc, provider of cloud based SaaS accounting software solutions for small UK businesses raised £10.7m with a market cap of £34.1m; and Filta Group, the kitchen specialist raised £6.2m on AIM with a market cap of £22.4m.  GoCompare.com, the price comparison website also intends to float on the LSE for around £400m following its successful demerger from Esure. In fact, over 27 companies, including TimeOut and Hotel Chocolat, had floated on AIM by H1 2016 for a combined value of $1.2bn – a 72% increase on the same half the previous year.  Moreover, the average market cap of AIM companies has been growing steadily and is now at an all-time high of £83.0m in 2016.  These trends empirically validate the position that, whilst Brexit may have temporarily affected IPO confidence, there is still a healthy appetite for companies going public on the London markets at a realistic price.

This notion of market resilience is endorsed by the head of Ernst and Young’s IPO leader for UK and Ireland, Scott McCubbin, who predicted earlier this month that there will be a resurgence in UK IPOs in 2017 as companies and investors acclimatise to post-Brexit market conditions.

With interest rates remaining in the doldrums, Abchurch believes that the London Stock Exchange will remain a highly competitive exchange for future IPOs in the final quarter of 2016 and looks forward to more IPO activity in 2017. 

Tuesday, 9 June 2015

Asian Companies Listing on AIM

In the past few decades, the Chinese economy has experienced phenomenal growth. And while growth had since slowed, it can’t be ignored that in 2014, China became only the second country in history (after America) to achieve economic output in excess of $10 trillion. In fact, even at the current rate of growth, China expected to surpass the US as the world’s largest economy within the next two decades.

It is no wonder then that foreign investors have been looking for ways to benefit from the Chinese success story. And there are plenty of Chinese investment opportunities right here in the UK. SMEs in China have long struggled to secure capital from Chinese banks and that has sent them elsewhere, including London’s AIM market.

But more recently, the reputation of Chinese AIM listed companies has taken a serious hit. It seems that after a few scandals involving Chinese companies, the market has lost faith in all of them. The problem for most Chinese companies therefore seems to be the result of suspicion and rumour. Of course, this is unfair – the Quindell and Tesco scandals have not resulted in investors blacklisting every UK Company.

So the question is, what can Chinese companies do to increase their appeal to UK investors and continue to tap a valuable source of funding through the AIM market? The simple answer: Transparency. After all, the best way to quash suspicions and rumour is by getting the truth out. So for any Chinese companies listing in London, effectively communicating to potential investors from the beginning is critical – and there are plenty of ways to do this.

The suspicions surrounding Chinese companies listing in London are largely fuelled by a literal lack of visibility. So first and foremost, Chinese companies seeking admission to the London Stock Exchange need to bear in mind that potential investors are based abroad and therefore not able to directly observe the day to day operations of the business. Transparency, achieved in part through increased publicity, is therefore key to bolstering investor confidence.

But an effective communications program requires much more than reaching out to the UK national and investor press only briefly ahead of the IPO. Companies need to communicate through wider media outlets and for a longer period of time in the build up to Admission in order to achieve a successful and hopefully oversubscribed fundraising.

One way to do this is by launching Corporate profiling exercises on the home front. Even when targeting a predominantly overseas audience, the relevance of local and trade press coverage should not be underestimated before an IPO.

This is particularly salient for smaller companies. UK journalists are unlikely to have heard of an Asian based SME considering an AIM IPO. If British journalists can discover an existing profile through good trade and local press coverage (and where appropriate a social media profile) as they go online for further information, it will increase the likelihood of positive UK press coverage at IPO.

Local media coverage is also important for investors, as it plays a key role in reassuring their confidence. If a company attempts to promote itself amongst UK investors without an already established press profile, it could make a company’s story, no matter how compelling, harder to believe. And given the current climate of suspicion, that is risk Chinese companies simply can’t take.

Simply put, a proactive communications program is strong evidence of a company’s willingness to honour its commitment to new and existing shareholders. And, perhaps more importantly, increased transparency will help reassure investors and help regain trust of the market. This strategy will not only help Chinese companies: With London seeking to cement its status as the world’s leading financial centre there is simply no way investors here can dismiss companies operating in a country set to become the world’s economic powerhouse.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Friday, 5 June 2015

Weekly Wrap Up: Please don’t increase my wage

The honeymoon appears to be over for the newly elected Conservative government. After basking in the glow of an unexpected majority win in the recent elections, the UK’s Tories have become caught up in a media firestorm - although it may not be one they could have avoided.

Before the election, David Cameron had described a 10% pay increase for MP’s – from £67 060 to £74 000 – as unacceptable. And on the surface, it does look bad for a government that is rumoured to be planning an additional £12 billion in welfare cuts to bump up their own pay. But the government has little choice when it comes to the pay rise – it’s decided by an independent body.

Nevertheless, in the UK media, taxpayer money is a hot button issue. Just ask the banks that received bailout money: banker’s salaries and bonuses have come under intense scrutiny and the media likes to suggest that taxpayer money is being used to pay for them. And there’s no class discrimination when it comes to receiving a taxpayer funded salary: welfare recipients who are deemed to be receiving too many benefits are also popular subjects in some major UK publications.

The lesson here is that when people are giving you their hard earned money they will want to know exactly what you are doing with it and why. This is as true for taxpayers as it is for shareholders. The unavoidable reality of increased scrutiny therefore requires increased transparency. Clearly communicating what is being done with the money and why will not only prevent the media from sensationalizing the story, it will also help win the trust of those who are providing the funds.

In the case of the MP pay rise, the government actually appears to be at least trying to do right by the taxpayer. Earlier this week a spokesperson explained that David Cameron could not do anything to prevent the pay rise. Ironically, the process of having an independent body decide on MP pay was put into place to prevent politicians from being paid excessive salaries on the taxpayer dime. Downing Street has followed this explanation with a letter to the authority that decides on MP pay to appeal the increase. At the very least, Downing Street has attempted to show that they are trying to protect taxpayer money.

So while most people living in UK would be thrilled to get a 10% wage increase, for politicians that extra money is likely not worth the public backlash – especially since after tax that £7000 won’t go very far for MP’s based in London.



This week, Abchaps attended the Watson Farley & Williams Commodities Summer Reception at The Salt Point Bar and the London Stock Exchange Summer Advisory Drinks at the Marchant Taylors’ Hall, where we caught up with lots of familiar faces. We also hosted a market lunch that discussed various topical subjects affecting the IPO market.



EY appointed Klaus Woeste, of KPMG, as a Partner and Head of the HR advisory team in its financial services human capital practice. Andrew Charnley joined Lloyds Bank’s Global Transaction banking business as Regional Head of the Trade and Working Capital Team from Barclays. Lloyds also appointed Paul Smith, who has worked at the bank for over 31 years, as Head of Trade Finance. Finally Gareth Lewis joined PwC’s real estate practice as Director, moving from a consultant role at EY and the Urban Land Institute.



“Hot button issue” – an issue that elicits a strong emotional reaction, such as MP’s who receive a 10% pay increase while the wages of those who pay that salary stagnate.



Enjoy Sunset Safari, where London Zoo opens its doors until 10pm, allowing guests to witness nature whilst the sun goes down.

Polo in the Park returns to the Hurlingham Club in Fulham. Nothing gives better excuse to Champagne before lunch than polo, so enjoy the atmosphere as the England team plays its first match there since 1939.

Over in east London, Field Day marks the start of festival season, being held in Victoria Park. With names like Caribou, Clarence Clarity, and Django Django, this promises to see the season kick off in style.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Thursday, 28 May 2015

Scottish Referendum vs. UK Election: Return of the IPO

In the last 12 months, two political events have succeeded in concerning the CityFirst the September 2014 referendum was called on Scottish independence, and brought with it a wave of populism not seen for generations. With the SNP and the calls for an independent Scottish state, came the first internal threat to the makeup of our country for centuries, and with this threat, came fear. Fear of a devalued currency, fear that the face of commodities in the UK was about to change, and fear that some of the Country’s great companies were going to have to be described as ‘English’ or ‘Scottish’ rather than the ‘British’ in which they had revelled.

Having attempted a feigned indifference for over a year, financial institutions finally scrambled to limit the damage. The first noticeable victim was the value of the Pound. Having stood strong against the Dollar for some time, it saw a sharp decline to a then seven month low. Next, an almost overnight drying up of IPO work. Concerned by uncertainty, the roadshow wheels grounded to a halt, with businesses deciding to take to the water once a yes / no decision had been made.

Following the no vote, an audible sigh went up in EC2. Within a week, £3 billion’s worth of deals were mooted. From Aldermore to Jimmy Choo, there was a spring in the step of the City again. However, with the election this month, the City again came to a juddering halt. Populism had been caught south of the border, and following the SNP into battle was UKIP, another party not ruled by sense, but by ideals. Between them, and their disruptive might, they threatened to turn the 2015 general election into a fight from which it seemed there could be no winners. With a hung parliament seemingly an inevitability, the bids to woo bedfellows became more important than offering the country sensible policies.

For several fear inducing weeks, especially to the world of finance, it seemed that the only realistic solution able to get over the line would be a Labour/SNP coalition. Even the Conservatives, for years the bastion of business, had to make drastic anti finance moves to appease the blue collar workers it has promised to help. The banking levy, recently raised from 0.156% to 0.21% of all debt held in UK banks. Seemingly inconsequential, but has seen HSBC, one of the country’s leading institutions, making unveiled threats to leave the UK, reverting to its original headquarters of Hong Kong. From the thought of insecurity, markets all but closed. For almost a month, the City was devoid of many IPO’s with companies being warned by advisers that their fundraisers would be very difficult. The Stirling plummeted again, with many believing that $1.40 would have been more than possible if ugly scenes and recrimination had followed on 7 May.

However, markets are resilient, and populist parties live and die by the frenzy they create. UKIP, at one point claiming potential victory in 40 seats, came away with only a solitary voice, Carswell in Clacton, with even their leader barred from Westminster by the voters of Thanet South. Even with the SNP’s astonishing numbers north of the border, the unexpected rout of Labour around the country led to a combined total of 288, nowhere near enough to damage the Tories. In achieving 331 seats, David Cameron achieved something that no PM with over 18 months experience has done since 1900, increasing his margin of victory from the start of his incumbency.

From this, the City took heart. Money and goods has been traded within its walls since the Roman’s first came to this country, and the election could never truly stop this. World Wars, disease, and political turmoil far greater than that seen today have not immobilised finance, only pausing it, and therefore, the only likely casualty of this election will be the bankers’ summer holidays. Hindsight of the Scottish referendum shows us just how quickly institutions can dust themselves off. History is a long study of applying hindsight to the future, therefore, come Summer, the wheels will be turning once more. With promises of floats already abounding, the City is already leaving the election behind.

Nevertheless, there is one final caveat. During the last parliament, the Conservatives, in a bid to appease their back benches and the increasing Eurosceptic population, promised an in/out EU referendum by 2017. This leaves the City in quandary. Nearly three quarters of those working within the Square Mile plan to vote in favour of staying within the European Union, and yet, as with the Scottish referendum before it, fear will descend on the City and quite possibly global markets again. With his slim majority, Cameron is acutely aware of his potential ‘bastards’ – Rees Mogg, Bone, Davies – all back bench heavyweights and therefore able to wield power in the future. Mark Reckless, the Eurosceptic and UKIP defector who was recently ousted from his seat in Rochester and Stroud, must be looking at the power his former colleagues now hold longingly. For this entire election, the public were sold a story that it would be the outside powers who would force the issue, the days of majority were over, with small parties for the first time ever holding the keys to Number 10. Ironically, the biggest threat to the City’s interests are now not from a raging bunch of Scottish and anti- EU populists desperate for financial blood, but in fact the very Government that EC2 was so happy to elect.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Friday, 8 May 2015

Weekly Wrap Up: The Biggest Loser this Election

Before the polls even opened on Thursday, there was already a clear loser in the UK general election: banks. Regardless of which party takes power, it seems that UK bank earnings are set to be hit by a wave of new legislation that could result in a rising bank levy, ring-fencing of operations, and even capping of retail banking market shares.

To be clear, banks and individual bankers whose recklessness and criminal behaviour precipitated the financial crisis deserved to be punished. And yes, the government should play a strong role in ensuring economic stability and therefore has to keep an eye on the financial industry.

Some proposed policies aimed at banks suggest politicians have become irrational. How, for example, would a Labour Party proposal to increase the bank levy to support free childcare have prevented the next financial crisis? Tory plans to use the money from fines to create apprenticeships also suggest politicians are simply using this money for political gain. It’s no wonder then that the Institute for Fiscal Studies recently felt compelled to warn politicians against treating banks like a “cash cow”.

But still, banks have been remarkably silent when it comes to defending themselves against political attacks in the post credit crunch era. This is particularly surprising because many politicians were themselves complicit in creating the conditions that led to the financial crisis.

So perhaps it’s time for banks to change their PR strategy and speak up. Already there are rumblings: The Chief Executive of the British Bankers’ Association was recently quoted in the Financial Times reminding politicians that “Banking is by far Britain’s leading export industry, and one of its biggest taxpayers, but…it is very internationally mobile.”

But instead of running away, as HSBC and Standard Chartered have threatened, it would be refreshing to hear more about the value that the financial industry brings to the UK and how banks are working to prevent further bad behaviour. After all, the staggering fines paid by banks since the financial crisis are not just the result of overzealous politicians on a witch hunt – banking culture was clearly dysfunctional pre crunch.

According to the FT, most bank bosses recognize that the industry is not doing enough to convince sceptics it has changed. Increased transparency would be a step in the right direction since it would prevent people from coming to their own conclusions, which has been mostly that banks are still up to no good.

So it’s time for the banks to take back control of the narrative. Until now, it may have been easier for banks to remain silent and for the public to hate them, but in reality if the financial industry continues to be a political target the biggest loser in this election will ultimately be the UK economy.



This week, Abchaps have been networking across the continent with our global partners at IPREX’s Annual Meeting in Berlin. We also met CMS Advisory over breakfast, discussing the ever increasing importance of social media in the City. Our Market Lunch series continued unabated; with this generalist lunch as the last held before the election, understandably, politics was at the forefront of the agenda.



Richard Hughes joined Norton Rose Fulbright as a Partner in its banking and finance practice, having previously worked with Simmons & Simmons. Alistair Mackenzie joined Associate Sales Director at UBS Global Asset Management, from Curzon Capital. Finally Cavendish Corporate Finance appointed Kate Gibbon, David Harris, Victoria Clarke, and Nathan Harroch into its Corporate Finance team.



The Saatchi Gallery the annual Contemporary Craft Fair ‘2015 edition’, presenting 35 international galleries showcasing the most exciting examples of applied arts craftsmanship.

To all you wannabe Sir Bradley Wiggins’ out there, SPIN London – The Urban Cycling Show celebrates the urban cycling scene with international brands and smaller independent makers in fixed gear, single speed, custom and BMX bikes in attendance as well as emerging cycle fashion brands, cyclic artwork, talks, demonstrations and workshops.

If you happen to be having a stroll with your dog on Hampstead Heath this Sunday, then why not enter The Great Hampstead Bark Off 2015? With a dog-themed-cake bake off, a dog show, and prizes awarded in categories like ‘cutest pup’ and ‘best rescue’. The event, in association with charity All Dogs Matter, will also give you the chance to meet some lovely mutts in need of a new home.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Friday, 24 April 2015

Weekly Wrap Up: Flash Crash brings Fast Cash?

The City has been in the PR mire for some time. Since the financial crash, institutions and individuals have been scrambling to save face, only to be undermined by a stream of negative press.

This week, that negative press has been provided with the flash crash case of Navinder Singh Sarao. A self-employed day trader, he faces extradition charges to the US, where he is accused of playing a significant role in, momentarily, taking up to $1 trillion off Wall Street. In a 45 minute period, almost 1000 points were knocked from the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the US’s premier exchange. The premise was simple, Sarao added sell orders which could be seen around the world, and caused others to add sell orders, panicking about a potential fall in their market. Following the cancellation of his orders, Sarao would then track the market down, and buy for supposed huge personal profits. This crime carries the potential for 380 years in prison, not something to be sniffed at.

In addition, Deutsche Bank, one of the largest financial institutions in the world, accepted a record libor fine of £1.6 billion for its role in fixing international interest rates during 2005-2010. These two crimes accurately portray the various flaws in City institutions. Firstly, the ability to undermine and subvert the system, and secondly the damage that can be done to its image.

Having been caught on the back foot when the markets fell, the financial regulators have now taken the fight to the institutions, inflicting more stringent fines. However, more needs to be done. Whilst America can be seen setting a hardline with its sentencing, 150 years for Bernie Madoff springs to mind, the UK needs to work harder at finding those who have abused the system criminally guilty.

The banks themselves, seemingly reticent to move on from their glory years, need to be seen doing more in the public eye to clear up their act. Possibly fearful of their pariah status, heads of UK banks have been notable in their absence from British screens in the last seven years. It will take strong character, but to move past the current public perception, banks need to work as never before to root out those who are abusing the system, and prove to the country and the world that this vital part of our economy is worth sustaining.



This week, Abchaps hosted multiple events including two Market Lunches, one focused on Mining and the other focused on the Environment, whilst also entertaining Northland Capital, after successfully working on TechFinancials IPO together. We also met with Richard Dunnett of Director Magazine, in order to learn more about how the magazine operates; and attended the Entrepreneurs Breakfast, a joint initiative between Smith & Williamson and freshbusinessthinking.com, which brought together multiple entrepreneurs at breakfast with keynote speaker Christopher Baker-Brian.



N+1 Singer appointed Nic Hellyer as Director in its Corporate Finance team from HSBC, whilst Nicole Martin was hired as Audit Partner in BDO’s Technology and Media practice. Meanwhile, Standard Chartered appointed Sir Iain Lobban to the bank’s board Financial Crime Risk Committee.



“Flash Crash” – A word which has entered the lexicon as quickly as the crime was purported to take. Having taken five years to work out a potential culprit, one feels that we will be reminded of the flash crash for some time to come.



If you’re an athlete you might be heading to the London Marathon this weekend. But for the less active among us, you will probably want to avoid Central London.

For those not running, there’s still a chance to celebrate England’s Patron Saint this weekend: The Mayor of London's throwing a party in his honour at Trafalgar Square on both Saturday and Sunday, where Robbie Boyd is headlining from 4pm-5pm on Saturday.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Friday, 17 April 2015

Weekly Wrap Up: An Affair to Forget

True to the core values of its business, the company that owns adultery website Ashley Madison has decided to stray from its home market when it goes public. The Toronto-based Avid Life Media made headlines this week when it announced its plans for a London listing this year. But it wasn’t the announcement itself that generated extensive press coverage. It was the Company’s reason for deciding to list in Europe that has received the attention.

The Company’s Head of International Relations, Christoph Kraemer, told Bloomberg that “Europe is the only region where we have a real chance of doing an IPO”. Why is that? Even though half of the adultery site’s users are based in the United States, Kraemer claims they have to list in London because Europe is more tolerant of adultery.

Except that’s not exactly true, according to the Pew Research Centre. In a poll asking respondents if “married people having an affair is morally unacceptable”, 84% of Americans did agree that cheating is bad. And in France, less than half of the respondents condemned affairs, with only 47% agreeing.

Avid Life Media is not, however, planning to list in France. And the UK has much less of a laissez-faire attitude towards infidelity: 76% of those who were asked considered it wrong. That is the same percentage as Canada, and not too far behind the Americans. Simply put, listing in London doesn’t make sense based on society’s attitude towards adultery.

Avid Life Media and Ashley Madison are obviously not concerned with this inconvenient fact. It’s also hardly believable that Ashley Madison is worried about investor morality in the US. Anyone who has seen the Wolf of Wall Street knows that stateside investors wrote the book on immorality. But claiming otherwise gave the story of the Company’s potential listing an angle that was picked up in much of the mainstream media in the US and the UK. It’s simply a tasteless PR strategy – and based on what the Company represents, no one should be surprised by this tactic.

Here’s what’s really happening: Avid Life Media is desperately trying to drum up interest after a failed attempt to raise money in Canada. But even an amateur investor could see that their growth strategy of expanding into new markets is limited – and potentially dangerous. Women will inevitably suffer far greater consequences if caught committing adultery; in many parts of the world it still results in ostracisation and violence. Investors would have to be prepared to accept this uncomfortable truth.

In the UK, Ashley Madison is currently banned from advertising on television because it is not deemed morally justifiable. And given that the UK’s attitude towards this type of business is on par with Canadians, it is likely that Ashley Madison’s attempt to raise money in London will soon be an affair the UK can altogether forget.



This week, Abchaps attended an interesting CIPR Speaker lunch with Ashley Armstrong, M&A Correspondent at The Telegraph. She touched on multiple topics, predicting 2015 to be a good year for M&A and purchasing influence of the Asian market to increase. As well as hosting a successful Malaysia focused Market Lunch, we attended the Election Debate Seminar, chaired by Vincent Wood, business Tax Partner at Moore Stephens. Discussions at the seminar included the truths behind the different parties’ pre-election pledges and asked the question whether the parties can realistically implement them.



Steve Frizell has been appointed Partner in PwC’s UK financial services risk assurance internal audit services team. Meanwhile, Standard Chartered has been promoted to Chief Economist and hired Ding Shuang as Head of Greater China Economic Research from Citigroup. Ian Sadler has become Partner and National Global Compliance and Outsourcing Leader at Baker Tilly.



“Morality” – usually considered the differentiation of intentions, decisions and actions between those that good and those that are bad. Although derived from Latin, this word apparently has a completely different meaning in French.



The Tweed Run is happening on Saturday, which sees cyclists take to the streets in their well-pressed best, cycling past London’s most iconic landmarks kitted out in the far more flattering tweed and brogues, compared to the de rigueur Lycra.

The Southbank Centre have an interesting take on election season, with their Changing Britain series this weekend taking in the period from 1945-1979, a seminal junction in British political life, with the welfare state as we know it today being born.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Friday, 27 February 2015

Weekly Wrap Up: Throwback to 1999

The financial world is, on the surface, abuzz this week as the FTSE 100 broke two records that have stood for over 15 years. On Tuesday, the FTSE 100 reached a new intraday high of 6,958.89 and also bettered its previous closing record by finishing the day at 6,949.63. While this is undoubtedly good news, undertones of uncertainty remain over what the repercussions of this success might be.

There is currently a great deal of talk about the strong tech start-up bubble that is forming around London. In 1999, Britain was in the peak of the dotcom boom, with telecoms and technology firms accounting for 23.4pc of the FTSE 100 index. However, that figure has now fallen to just 6.7pc. Nowadays, the index is dominated by raw materials: between them, the oil & gas and mining sectors account for 22pc of the FTSE compared with 15.1pc at the turn of the century. This shows that for a start, to compare the two periods is difficult due to the fact that the FTSE 100 is very different to the one in 1999.

But what does this new all-time high really mean for the real world? Guy Ellison, head of equities at Investec Wealth & Investment, said that the record is largely “symbolic” and that the London index is likely to kick higher in coming trading sessions. This was proved yesterday when the FTSE reached a new closing high of 6,949.73 – helped by a surge in the share price of the Asian focused bank Standard Chartered who announced the appointment of new Chief Executive, former JP Morgan investment bank boss Bill Winters.

Many will breathe a sigh of relief with the new records. As they have been so long in the making, the event holds great psychological significance, seeming to draw a line under the duel traumas of the dotcom bubble burst and the financial crisis. However this has led to speculation that the highs of the FTSE are a sign of a bubble, meaning that the burst might be around the corner. Peter Sullivan, head of European equity strategy at HSBC, said the new record “inevitably raises questions about how sustainable it is and whether it has got ahead of itself. Is this a sell signal? Absolutely not in our view.” Another reason why the 2015 high cannot be compared to 1999 is that the earnings picture is completely different. Sullivan adds that “earnings are 99pc higher than they were in 1999” meaning that we should be pleased and not worried that the FTSE is back to its best. Current earnings mean that we can start to worry when the index nears 10,000, which, according to Professors Elroy Dimson and Paul Marsh and Dr Mike Staunton of London Business School, has a 50pc probability of happening by the end of 2022 and a 50pc chance it will take longer



This week Abchaps hosted a market lunch, and enjoyed Shore Capital’s wine tasting wine event. The team is also hosting and attending the IPREX Global Leadership Conference in London, where our partners from all over the world are coming together to discuss integrating a wide range of modern services, channels and techniques in pursuit of client results and agency success.



Olswang appointed senior corporate TMT partner Mark Bertram as head of corporate, who has been at the firm since 2007. Charlie Jolly became accountancy firm Baker Tilly’s head of private equity, whilst Jurga McCluskey joined Deloitte from PwC as partner and head of its UK immigration practice.



A monthly late opening of the Natural History Museum and temporary exhibitions continues tonight. This event includes free entry to the Central Hall and Images of Nature gallery, changing discussions on timely themes, open-mic performances by up and coming musicians throughout the evening and British farmers’-market style food and drink in the pop-up restaurant.

For sports lovers, the Six Nations Championship is back on our screens this weekend with Scotland playing Italy (at the moment for the wooden spoon) and France versing Wales, both on Saturday. Then pick between the possible Championship decider on Sunday with England playing Ireland or choose to watch the footy, as Chelsea and Tottenham fight for the first major trophy of the football season, the Capital One Cup.

If you want a trip back in time on Sunday, head to Judy’s Affordable Vintage Fair at Lambeth Town Hall in Brixton. Browse hand-picked stalls packed with affordable vintage fashion, accessories and homewares.

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Thursday, 10 July 2014

The A-Z of Generation Y

Recently we’ve seen several press articles on the tastes, working habits and culture of those categorised as ‘Generation Y’. Why all the fuss? Why should we turn our attention to this demanding demographic? At first glance, it just seems experts are advising we change working environments to play to their strengths, and, in many ways, protect businesses from Gen Y’s weaknesses.

Dave Baxter wrote an article in The Business Reporter, distributed by City AM, stating that Generation Y, generally considered those born between 1980 – 1990, are often described as "collaborative, workshy, digitally savvy and anti-authority”. These are, of course, generalisations, but looking around the City, each of these ‘Millennials’ (as they are otherwise known) that I spy undoubtedly demonstrates, at times, most of these characteristics. And the scary bit? In workplaces across the world they are starting to climb the career ladder.

This new workforce breed will undoubtedly affect how companies and leaders operate and manage their teams. Let’s consider what this could mean for employers in the communications industry…

Collaboration

The possibility for collaborative working methodologies is undoubtedly a positive. Working in silos would almost be an oxymoron for any natural-born communications professional. As new sources of information emerge and communications channels constantly evolve, resources need to be pooled to ensure optimal internal communications, in order to deliver the best quality of service to your clients. Collaboration in the workplace also improves the creativity of content, allowing more perspectives to shape the final product. This is essential when vying for column inches or coverage for smaller companies in an increasingly crowded marketplace.


Digitally Savvy

Last week, Morgan Stanley gave the green light to its Brokers to post self-authored content on firm-approved Twitter profiles. The majority of journalists are also active Twitter users. In fact, with hundreds of emails and calls a day, often the most responsive and standout way to get in contact is via the social media platform. If financial journalists and advisors are using it, surely the platform is perceived as influential? Could the content even influence a share price? If communications professionals have grown up using social media, tweeting an equity story is as natural as putting something down the RNS, or indeed arranging a night out. It’s probably therefore a good thing to have Millennials as members of the team

Anti-authority

But let’s not tweet before we can talk. An anti-authoritarian attitude can be difficult to manage and, more importantly, to teach. But for Millennials, it’s more a case of a lack of awareness of authority. Due to the more regimented family lives of generations past, young people were taught, ‘only speak when you are spoken to’. However, due to the flexibility and fluidity of modern family units, relationships are more relaxed at home, which can often translate to the workplace. This modern mentality means that Generation Y simply do not feel constrained or restricted by authority, so are not afraid to voice opinions. Their creative and often well-educated minds are therefore freer to help shape a company’s strategy and business decisions. Maybe that’s not a bad thing?

At the end of the day, Generation Y is becoming a more senior and dominant demographic in the workplace. Surely it would be better to facilitate their preferences and habits in order to make the most of their strengths? A diversity of skills is an asset to any business. It can lead to the evolution of a new differentiator or USP.

But then again maybe I would say that?

I was born in 1990. Oh and workshy is just a rumour!

Stephanie Watson

Follow us on Twitter @AbchurchComms

Friday, 4 April 2014

Weekly Wrap Up: FCA rules on Crowdfunding

This week The Financial Conduct Authority did a lot to help consumers. This was, however, at the expense of businesses. In short, it set out new rules on payday lenders that would shut-down about half of the industry. Similarly, it has imposed rules on the nascent crowdfunding industry that could severely hinder its growth.

The concept of crowdfunding - by Rocio Lara
The FCA has always had a tough balance to strike when dealing with alternative funding; on one hand it has to encourage the industry to grow in order to open up an important access route to capital for SMEs struggling to obtain credit. At the same time it has to ensure that it is adequately protecting investors from risky start-ups. The result of this balancing act is that whilst the FCA seems to have struck a fair deal for peer-to-peer lenders (whose business models work around debt based finance), its equity-based finance counterparts in the crowdfunding sector have been hit punitively. These news rules may stop this form of finance in its tracks.

Under the new rules, equity-based crowdfunding will be subject to the “10 per cent” rule whereby investors must certify that they are not committing more than 10% of their net investible assets, excluding their home, pensions and life insurance. This rule will only be waived for those deemed to be “sophisticated investors”, and will not apply to peer-to-peer loans. This arbitrary limit on the amount of money that an individual can invest into crowdfunding ventures will, therefore, inevitability exclude small investors.

It would be a great shame for the crowdfunding industry, a great source of innovation that has opened up a new pool of capital to small businesses, to be quashed at such an early stage in its development. SMEs are driving the British economy and, therefore, the recovery of it. With lending levels by Banks at historic lows, putting these draconian rules in place will only reverse some of the great progress that has been made to kick-start lending and the economy.



This week, Abchaps attended the Global Mining Finance Spring Conference at the London Chamber of Commerce and Industry, which brought together miners and financiers looking at the most favourable regions for mining, as well as the hottest commodities for investments.

Who can resist a fun quiz? Abchaps enjoyed Farrer & Co's fab Quiz Evening, as well as hosting an environmental-themed market lunch. In view of the need to have effective Non-Executive Directors to support the reputation of a company, we attended the Peel Hunt NED Awards - a great opportunity to recognise the contribution that London’s NEDs make to the City.


To end the week on a high, we will be sipping cocktails tonight at the Association of Chinese Financial Professionals’ UK networking drinks.



This week saw Brewin Dolphin appoint Guy Foster as Head of Research having made a considerable impact at the firm over the last eight years. Panmure Gordon also appointed a new Head of Equity Research, Jeremy Grime. Over at Field Fisher Waterhouse Owen Talfan Davies joined as a Real Estate litigation partner. Charles Stanley Group also announced that Anthony Scott will take on the role as Head of Investment Management.



Crowdfunding”: the collection of finance to sustain an initiative from a large pool of backers. Companies who have recently turned to crowdfunding to source capital have also used the opportunity to market the business as well as fund it; Naked Wines is one such example.



In the mood for some contemporary art? Sunday 6th April is the last day of the Institute of Contemporary Arts’ display of Richard Hamilton’s famous ‘Man, Machine and Motion’ and ‘An Exhibit’ exhibitions. Composed of thirty steel frames and installed photographs, this re-showing of his mid-1950s work will certainly distract even the busiest of minds.

Another event not to be missed, and which is fast on its way out, is the London Coffee Festival, being held at 15 Hanbury Street until 6th April. This is the UK’s largest coffee and artisan food event, celebrating London’s vibrant culture and love of this favourite type of “brain fuel”. Tickets for this event can be bought for different sessions; bunch, lunch or tea-time.

Finally, an event for the contemporary Londoner: The Ceramic Art London show being held at the Royal College of Arts. This show will display the work of over 75 ceramic artists, with collections up for sale as well as for display. This three-day event, which ends on 6th April, includes talks, discussion and demonstrations.

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Friday, 14 February 2014

Weekly Wrap Up: A Flow of Israeli IPOs

Is London well positioned to capture the next wave of Israeli tech IPOs?

There has been hype and a buzz in the City this week about the number of Israeli tech companies that are currently eyeing a listing in London. Companies include digital advertising company Matomy who now has ten global offices in Israel, Spain, Germany, Mexico, San Francisco and New York and employs 400 people. The Company is looking to raise £60m which will value it at between £200 and £300m. Another is digital advertising Company, Marimedia.

Israel, dubbed the 'start up nation', is the second largest source of innovation after Silicon Valley and is the third largest source of listings on New York’s NASDAQ. Global tech companies, Apple, Google, Intel and HP have been building up their research and development operations in Israel, making the country a major tech hub in its own right. Its leading tech companies have engineered cutting edge medical technology such as Given Imaging, a producer of swallowable camera pills.

Inspiring Innovation
Source: Oliver Thompson - Flickr CC
News of foreign tech companies, particularly from this innovative market, choosing to come to London to list is welcome news; London must do all it can to attract these companies. For too long London has failed to do so due to the lack of fund managers and analysts focusing on tech. Many argue that London’s capital markets are too immature in this respect when compared to NASDAQ or even NYSE, and until London sees a consistent number of tech companies floating successfully on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) then investors will continue to go to the US to tap into its attractive infrastructure, analysts and flourishing IPO market. Was it presumptuous of Joanna Shields, Tech City Chief, to claim in October 2013 that London had reached parity with New York when one of the most exciting companies and gaming giant, King chose to float in New York last year?

Nonetheless, London has been making positive steps to capture this market and the most attractive sector for growth. The LSE launched the “High Growth Segment” (HGS) in March 2013 with the goal of enticing firms to the market; companies wouldn’t have to comply with the usual free-float rules and would also be able to list by selling as little as 10% of their equity. This initiative has been received positively by fast growing companies, and according to Marcus Stuttard, Head of UK primary markets at the LSE, there is a rising interest in the broader IPO market. It is hoped that the arrival of Facebook and Google as established presences in East London will bring a new wave of commercial expertise. The government has also launched its Future Fifty scheme, designed to attract and support online entrepreneurs to push the UK into the front of the global race in this respect. These are all great initiatives, but more will be needed to ensure that London successfully rides the next wave of Israeli tech companies looking to IPO.



Abchaps welcomed Mazars Finance and Corporate Finance teams into our offices and heard about their focus on Israel, as well as their specialist sectors: media, technology and telecoms. We also entertained some special guests at Chelsea, who were victorious over Newcastle 3-0 at Stamford Bridge.



Love wasn’t the only thing in the air this week; promotions and new appointments were also on the cards at a number of top City firms. Our friends at Cavendish Corporate Finance appointed Joe Stelzer as a managing partner after four successful years at the Company.

Octopus Investments announced that Debu Purkayastha is to be their entrepreneur-in-residence at the fund management Company. No doubt he will use his previous experience at Google to drive the business forward with his keen eye for exciting new opportunities. In the legal domain, Pinsent Masons have also now appointed Michael Ruck as a senior lawyer in its corporate crime team.

Finally, following our client Lighthouse Group’s announcement last week that Rowan Dartington had been brought on board, the Group have also appointed Mark Evans as business development director, moving over from his senior executive position at Pearl Assurance.



'BitTag' – In a week where the burgeoning BitCoin industry was writ large across our newspaper headlines, our tech-loving friends over in East London introduced the ‘BitTag’ concept. BitTags are physical price tags that provide the consumer with a real-time indication of an item’s price according to market fluctuations, displaying both local currency and BitCoin value.

Darling, you’ve left the BitTag on my valentines day present. This may have been a pricey gift at Harrods, but you could have got it at a knock-off price with BitCoin, you cheap…



It’s the big Valentine’s Day today, so whether you have been struck by Cupid’s love arrow or are single and ready to mingle, the City is hosting numerous options for both love and lust...

Instead of gazing longingly into each others eyes over a candlelit dinner, get physical with some couples’ aqua zorbing or a ‘Lovers Leap Bungee Jump’! 

For you singletons, fear not – love could be found exploring the beautiful and the ugly at the Natural History Museum’s Valentine’s Day Night Safari. Alternatively, head to Bounce club for its anti-val, strictly no kissing, just ping pong night of partying!


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Wednesday, 29 January 2014

Chinese companies an improving bet for investors

As the global economy gradually recovers, the investment community in London is expecting a vibrant capital market with surges of IPOs and M&A activity. For the City, IPOs of Chinese companies have gained increasing attention from advisers.

However, the question remains: why should Chinese companies list in London as opposed to listing in their own country, or even Hong Kong? What makes the London stock market attractive for Chinese companies to list?

A year of slower, but concrete, growth in China

Over the past year, investors have been aware of the stagnation in growth of the Chinese economy. In 2013 China experienced its slowest growth since 2000, with only 7.6% increase in GDP, and PMI dropped from 52.5% in November to 50.9% in January 2014. This was partly caused by the US Government’s decision to trim the quantitative easing that had previously encouraged inflows of ‘hot’ money into China. The Chinese government has also brought in tighter controls on shadow banking, including non-government backed banks. Shadow banking was a major source of finance for local governments to facilitate projects which were carried out to meet the central government’s growth initiative targets.

Such concerns, however, do not diminish investors’ optimism towards investing into Chinese companies. Many are attracted to the long-term benefits brought about by recent measures introduced by the Chinese government.

Government reforms drive share price as IPO moratorium is lifted

In November 2013, the Chinese government put forward what has been termed as the biggest “reform package” since the 1990s. One of the most significant changes was the relaxation of China’s strict “Hukou” policy (a policy restricting internal migration from rural to urban areas), which is expected to facilitate urbanisation. Another significant change was the easing of the One-Child policy. Both are expected to encourage much greater demands for consumer products in the future.

The Chinese government has long been attempting to rebalance its current export-dependent and investment-intensive economic model to a more sustainable one that will be led by internal consumption. However it will take time for these measures to come into effect. What is certain, however, is that steady growth will continue in China backed up by relatively concrete and sustainable economic activity.

Various industries have benefited from the recent introduction of these new government initiatives with many Chinese businesses enjoying share price increases. Consumer goods shares were amongst the obvious winners. Companies related to baby products, such as HKSE quoted Goodbaby International, as well as dairy products makers Mengniu Diary and Yashili International soared following the reform announcement.

With the Chinese government increasing its green targets to counter the environmental effects of urbanisation, other winners were those in the renewable energy industry. HKSE quoted Wind-farm operator China Longyuan Power Group Corp saw its share price increase by 86% over the year, whilst Hanergy Solar Group Ltd. saw an increase of over 100%.

Industries that are expected to perform well going forward include the insurance industry, benefited by the Chinese government’s relevant tax policies, and exporters, benefiting from the recovering US and European markets.

In late December 2013 China reopened its market for domestic IPOs, following a moratorium imposed by the government in October 2012 as part of an attempt to reform the capital markets in China. As a result, analysts have predicted 2014 will be a good year for the Chinese stock market. Coupled with confidence in the long-term consumer market, it should be an excellent year for Chinese companies to raise funds in China.

Variety and flexibility of listing in London contribute to continuing popularity

Despite these optimistic predictions, however, Chinese companies are still choosing to list overseas and particularly in London.

London certainly provides more exposure for companies that wish to “go global”. For Chinese companies wishing to expand their business to Europe, London is strategically important and is the undisputed City of choice for a European headquarters. The City of London’s strong track-record of dealing with Africa also makes it favourable for Chinese companies wanting to expand their businesses there.

Furthermore, as the world’s most established stock market, the market regulations in London are undoubtedly more predictable and reliable than the Chinese mainland markets. Stock markets in mainland China are still subject to regulatory changes which makes the market less predictable as regulators seek to mitigate overpricing in the market. Recently, five companies which had announced their intention to list in China have retracted their intentions and postponed their IPOs following newly released rules which strengthen government control on stock price valuations.

Another advantage of listing in London is the flexibility of the London Stock Exchange when compared to, for example, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange where the process is comparatively complicated. On average, it takes two years for a company to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. For smaller companies, this might not be a viable option with the time and financial costs involved. London’s Main Market on the other hand is well-known as having a faster listing process whilst maintaining supervision over public companies. London’s Alternative Investment Market (AIM) also provides an important channel for SMEs to list, with simpler listing procedures and the supervision delegated in part to a Nominated Adviser (NOMAD), who project manages the new issue.

The increasing sophistication of AIM has also made it a more appealing option. In 2013, 25% fewer companies left AIM compared with 2012. £881 million was raised in equity, 70% more than in 2012. Government initiatives have now made AIM stocks eligible for placement in ISAs and these additional tax benefits make AIM-shares even more attractive to investors. In addition to this, from April 2014, AIM shares will be the most tax-advantaged of all investments with exemptions from inheritance tax and stamp duty.

London emphasises its pro-China position

David Cameron in China
to promote UK trade, 2013
Source: The Guardian
The UK’s desire to promote trade with China has never been more obvious. Stories on Chinese investment into the country, and vice versa, have been dominating headlines over the course of the past year, followed by David Cameron and Boris Johnson’s multiple visits to the country.

Although the number of Chinese companies listing in London has fallen slightly in recent years, it is anticipated that IPOs of China-based businesses will increase, particularly bearing in mind what London has to offer. Priding itself on being the world’s most established financial centre, London would certainly be a strategic option for Chinese companies wishing to gain access to international investors. The capital markets remain an interesting place to watch as advisers expect greater deal flow from China in the near future.

Canace Wong

Canace is an Account Executive at Abchurch Communications. Brought up in Hong Kong, she is fluent in Cantonese and Mandarin. Canace has a Master’s Degree in Philosophy and Public Policy from the London School of Economics and is a key member of Abchurch’s China and Asia team.

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Friday, 17 January 2014

Weekly Wrap Up: The Key to Israel's Tech Success

Israel, often synonymous with the term “start up nation”, has over the past few years seen the giants of the tech world swallow up some of its best start up companies. Many commentators believe Israel is on a roll following Google’s payment of $1bn for mobile traffic app Waze, Facebook’s purchase of data compression company Onavo, and Apple’s acquisition of Primesense. Israel is now the second largest source of innovation after Silicon Valley and the third largest source of listings on Nasdaq after North America and China. For a small country always in a hostile environment, what is the key to its unparallelled success?

Perhaps the answer to that question lies in region of the country’s compulsory military service. The founders of Onavo, for example, served in the army’s intelligence division Unit 8200 prior to founding the Company; a Unite renowned for producing graduates whom are behind some of the country’s most renowned start ups.

The UK is now attempting to mirror Israel’s start up success by encouraging ex services personnel to launch their own businesses; examples can be seen in what are now thriving businesses, including Mergermarket, Trailfinders and Go Ape.

Similarly in the US, large companies such as FedEx, Digital Equipment Corporation, and Walmart were founded by former members of the armed forces. Ben Brabyn (former Royal Marine and founder of Heropreneurs) set up a charity designed to help ex force personnel to start up businesses. He extols Israel as a fruitful start up hotspot and states that it should be no surprise that it is recognised as such in a country where every citizen has to serve in the military.

Where Israel lags behind is that it has not grown its companies into big leagues because of gaps in management and experience, as well as a restless entrepreneurial culture that trumps exits over organic growth. However, this is beginning to change, and Tel Aviv as the tech cluster is pushing heavily for the government to relax visas so it can attract foreign skilled workers and to open it up to global talent.

The challenge is now for London to position itself as a city of choice for tech companies looking to list, and not lose out to the number of such companies that are currently choosing to go to the US. London must look to capture a slice of this pie and to attract companies to Silicon roundabout so as to further develop its own tech sector.

Britain’s bilateral relationship with Israel is enormous: two-way trade reached more than £3.81bn by the end of 2012, compared with the £3.7bn recorded for the previous year. Britain is on track for UK Trade and Investment’s target of topping £4bn by the middle of the decade. Such a relationship is invaluable to the UK and to London and will ensure London retains its competitive advantage.



Abchaps went along to the Proactive Investors One2One investor forum to view presentations by Mwana Africa plc, Edge Resources and NioCorp (on the recommendation of RFC Ambrian). The presentations were very compelling, reminding us of the importance of having a sociable CEO as the mouthpiece for a company seeking investment.

Always keen to learn more, we also hosted two market lunches to discuss how the City’s optimization is playing out the Tech sector.



Our friends at finnCap, currently number one broking house to AIM companies, have strengthened its offering with the launch of a new investment trust, thanks to two senior appointments - Paul Harrington, formerly of Westhouse Securities and James Simpson of Jefferies.

Baker Tilly also announced Rob Donaldson, previously of Baker Tilly, as its new head of Corporate Finance;  while Norton Rose Fulbright appointed Geoff Peters, formerly Freshfields Bruckhaus, as a partner within the Company’s energy M&A team.



If you ever fancied your chances as a bit of a Fred Astaire or Ginger Rogers, now is your time to shine. Head down to the Tea House Theatre in Vauxhall on Friday night for ‘Tails & Twirls’. Dance the night away doing the quickstep, foxtrot, rumba, charlston and some cha cha cha to a live band and vintage records. 

Alternatively, the get involved as Brooklyn Bowl, the iconic Williamsburg music venue / bowling alley, makes its European debut right on London’s doorstep. Setting its roots at the O2 arena it offers 12 bowling lanes, bar areas and food served from the famous New York restaurant Blue Ribbon.

Finally, if you wanted a quieter, more cultured weekend then head down to the Business Design Centre, Islington, for the 26th edition of the London Art Fair. Treat your eyes to the wondrous, contemporary art and design being showcased by a number of notable British artists such as David Hockney, Francis Bacon and David Shrigley.

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Monday, 6 January 2014

What was really behind AIM’s revitalised 2013 performance?

There is a tendency in January to look back and become a little wistful about the previous year; the highs, the lows and all that seemed to run remarkably quickly in-between. Maybe it’s the influence of a little too much festive cheer (obviously, referring to the copious amounts of turkey).

There are now facts and figures (rather than just after-dinner chatter between Corporate Financiers discussing their Q1 / 2 pipeline) which detail the success of the AIM market in 2013. According to UHY Hacker Young’s latest AIM report:
  • £881m raised (70% increase on 2012)
  • 56 companies joined
  • 25% fewer companies left (delisting or insolvency) than 2012. It is widely considered that the Alternative Investment Market is now competing with the FTSE main markets in terms of generating returns for investors.

What has changed to drive this growth?

Have increased regulatory sanctions aligning AIM companies corporate governance with those of the main market shed its reputation as the wild-west of exchanges? Perhaps the government’s effort to facilitate SME innovation, such as “patent box” tax breaks for biotech companies, have captured the imagination of investors? Or has the inclusion of AIM stocks in ISAs provided a fresh incentive?

Journalist David Prosser looks to another veritable driver as he questions whether the audience that AIM appeals to may be responsible for the ever-improving performance. AIM is a market of opportunity for “ordinary investors” to pick out overlooked and undervalued stocks that institutional investors have missed.

Whilst realistically the answer lies in the healthy combination of all these factors, there is one integral (and often undermined) point that has changed:

The maturity of companies coming to market

Maturity does not just equate to the amount of years a company has existed, but it can also be quantified in terms of wisdom and forward thinking; in other words, how thoroughly did the company anticipate and plan an eventual exit.

Companies are beginning to consider their exit from inception… they are not only concerned with profit margins, but also considerations such as working cost of capital and the maintenance of growth. They want to create the optimum final valuation of a well-structured Company that has water-tight Corporate Governance. These factors give investors more confidence upon entry into the public domain and later in the secondary market.

The investment story

The increased maturity of companies is also reflected by their decision to consider financial PR at an earlier stage during the IPO process. Companies are realising that their investment story cannot be created last minute. An integrated communication strategy should be prepared to position the company correctly to key audiences and manage market expectations of their stocks at an early stage. Some of the most successful IPOs of 2013 have proven the virtuous circle of commitment that exists between investment in PR, IR and share price.

An Abchurch client, SyQic, the fast growing OTT provider of live TV and on-demand paid video content across mobile and internet enabled consumer devices, demonstrated a successful flotation when it’s shares soared 30% on it’s first day of dealings following an over subscribed road show thanks to a well communicated investment story. 

Return to the status-quo

Many in the City are now looking ahead to 2014 with eager anticipation. What exciting, profitable and increasingly international companies are going to debut on the London junior market in 2014? The answer, in all likelihood, is many. And yes, there will be some that falter, but we must remember that this was the case pre–2008 too. The existence of one or two non-starters does not indicate the existence of a so called bubble in London markets, but rather a return to the natural status-quo. But as David Prosser pointed out, the AIM market is now a more dominant force and will continue to go from strength to strength.

Stephanie Watson

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Friday, 20 December 2013

Weekly Wrap Up: The Independent Christmas Consumer

The run up to Christmas 2013 couldn’t have been more festive for the retail manager; money had returned to the markets, consumer spending was up and (it seemed that) the shopping halls of the high-street were once again pounded again by the much desired feet of the consumer.

The city buzzed with a financially optimistic Q4 2013, and the anticipation of a fat and prosperous Christmas and New Year.

The Scotsman spoke of increased high-street spending, The Mirror muscled in on the topic with “online Christmas shopping boom as November spending rises by 20% on last year”, and Reuters dutifully reported that UK shoppers were set to spend £1.4bn pounds this Christmas (according to Deloitte’s Christmas research).

It has often been mused that the output of the media has a huge part to play in the patterns of consumer spending. This makes sense; when a child is told that it has more money to spend it will tend to buy more more sweets in the shop.

So the media-hooked consumer will read in his chosen paper that economic growth has returned and his wallet will immediately (seem to) feel a little heavier.

One would have expected, therefore, that the “good news” tale of Christmas spending being told by the UK nationals would have caused a proliferation in the amount of money being spent by a more positive consumer.

However, this was not the story that was told this week. This week’s papers reported a completely different story; a story of slashed prices and huge discounts.

This was in response to a survey conducted by the London “big-four” firm PwC. The survey’s statistics revealed that 72% of high-street retailers have been forced to offer discounts of an average of 46% in a last-bid attempt to lure Christmas shoppers into stores and spend the money that is so desperately needed to keep the high-street in action.

As Steve Hawkes of The Daily Telegraph reported: “As well as the cuts at M&S, Debenhams is running a half-price sale, Gap and Austin Reed are offering up to 60 per cent off selected items of clothing, House of Fraser has cut prices by as much as 75 per cent and Argos has launched a half-price toy sale.”

Had the papers been too optimistic about “the health of the consumer”? Had the retailers assumed that consumers were feeling bonny with this recent flow of good economic news, and so were consequently left in the lurch when this optimism didn’t translate into the expected increase in revenue?

Or, has the consumer finally digested the lesson of 2008 and learnt not to take optimistic reporting at face value?

In short, the recession of 2008 was due to the bubble of a few years of optimistic borrowing and spending bursting, and it had disastrous consequences for the spendthrift consumer.

Is it possible that the positive articles that might once have been taken at face value and used as an excuse to hit the high-street are now being digested in a much more thoughtful, cautious and measured manner? Consumers are still reading and being influenced by the media, but perhaps now they are considering the memory of the dark years following the over-optimism of 2008 and keeping their purses firmly zipped.




Abchaps had a busy week in the City and beyond, including a rugby match with Smith Williamson at The Stoop. Tuesday brought our team Christmas party, where supper in the trendy area of Shoreditch preceded the awesome Pongathon at Richmix for a table tennis tournament which saw fierce competition and tears from the losers. We also enjoyed Farrer & Co's Christmas drinks party.



KPMG have announced that Tony Woodhams will head up their Trading Risk Solutions Group. The former trader will bring his 17 years experience as at institutions such as Credit Suisse, HSBC and Marex Sprectron his new team.

This is not the only senior hire to take place; Coutts have announced John Etheridge will be Head of Product and Fiona Whitehead will take the lead as Head of New Business, bolstering the Company’s International Trust Business Team. At Herbert Smith Freehills Sonya Leydecker and Mark Rigotti, former Head of Banking and Head of Corporate, have been appointed as joint Chief Executive, making them the 1st leading law firm, with revenues over £500m to appoint a female CEO.



'Black Friday' - the start of the Christmas shopping season when retailers launch their promotional holiday sales. Usually the last Friday in November to coincide with the last pay day before Christmas.



Is the thought of one more mulled, minced or market-based activity met with a slightly weary sigh? Well, there are other ways you can keep the festive cheer going in the city this weekend!

Freshen up after a week of indulgence and head over to the Tower of London Ice Rink where you can hit the ice from 10:00am onwards with the grandeur of one of the capital’s most iconic landmarks providing a backdrop to the hour long sessions.

Abchaps love a good sing song and so it’s a good thing there are plenty of carol concerts taking place too. Fleet Street Carols are a fantastic opportunity to sing alongside St Bride’s own choir at either noon or 5pm, so take 5 minutes out and enjoy a little serenity in the run up to Christmas.

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